Earnings season is a crucial time for investors and analysts, as it provides insights into how well companies have performed over the past quarter and gives indications of their future earnings. In 2023, expectations for US Q1 earnings were low due to economic challenges and rising interest rates. Surprisingly, many companies beat these low expectations, with 75% of S&P 500 companies surpassing forecasts.
$1.9 tln stimulus is unlikely to support the USD in long term
2021-01-15 • Updated
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
USD/JPY: The pair is trading below the cloud. Further bearish pressure will lead the currency pair to retest the previous lows.
XAG/USD: Silver is struggling to move higher and remains below the 38.2% retracement area.
European Market View
Asian equity markets were subdued after failing to shrug-off the weak lead from the US where major indices were dragged lower. Asian shares stumbled lower in afternoon trade on Friday, reversing earlier gains as rising COVID-19 cases in China reinforced investor concerns over the prospects for a global economic recovery. Earlier on Friday, an Asian regional share index had edged near record highs after US President-elect Joe Biden proposed a $1.9 trillion stimulus plan to jump-start the world's largest economy and accelerate its response to COVID-19. Looking ahead, highlights from the macroeconomic calendar include UK GDP, US retail sales, NY Fed manufacturing, industrial production, Uni. of Michigan, earnings from JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup.
EU Key Point
- UK November monthly GDP -2.6% vs -4.6% m/m expected
- Germany reports 22,368 new coronavirus cases, 1,113 deaths in the latest update today
- The UK is preparing to vaccinate up to half a million people a day from next week
- Italian PM Conte is reportedly set to face a vote of confidence on Monday
When I started trading stocks a few years ago, I often needed to pay more attention to my technical analysis skills and trust that the market would play fair according to my analysis. I have since discovered that the safer approach to trading stocks is to, more often than not, seek out investing opportunities - that is, catching stock commodities with a potential to rise.
The S&P 500 had a good week due to the impressive start of Q1 earnings and favorable inflation data. In March, the consumer price index rose 5%, lower than the previous month's 6%, and met economists' expectations.
On Friday, the gold price (XAUUSD) retreated from a recent two-week high, facing selling pressure. This decline was driven by hawkish minutes from the FOMC meeting, indicating the Fed's reluctance to cut interest rates. Elevated US Treasury bond yields, supported by a "higher-for-longer" narrative, further weakened demand for gold...
Bearish Scenario: Selling below 22.65 with TP1: 22.34 (intraday) and TP2: 22.02 (swing). Bullish Scenario: Buying above 22.70 with TP1: 22.90.
Intraday and swing scenarios based on price action and volume profile.