NZD/JPY will soon be out of the rage

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Trade idea

SELL 76.00; TP 75.60; SL 76.15

BUY 76.80; TP 77.30; SL 76.65

NZD/JPY has started recovering at the beginning of January. The pair consolidated in the middle of the bullish channel during the last 5 days. For now, it’s trading above the weekly pivot point at 76.06. The 50-day MA went above the 200-day MA forming a so-called “golden cross”. At the same time, if we check the monthly chart, we’ll see that the pair ran into the 100-month MA at 76.35, so the way up is not so easy either.

A spike in volatility may be expected this week on Thursday when New Zealand releases GDP figures. The forecasts are not that good. The decline below 76.00 will move NZD/JPY down to 75.60 (100-day MA, channel support). Buyers may reappear in this zone. At the same time, a break of the upper border of the consolidation range around 76.75 will open the way up to 77.30 (100-week MA).

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FBS Analyst Team

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