Stock Market Rally. How Far Can It Go?
Global equities on Wall Street experienced a mixed session following the Thanksgiving holiday, heading for the most significant one-month rally since November 2020. MSCI's global shares index slightly eased but was still on track for an 8.5% monthly gain, fueled by growing investor confidence that U.S. interest rates have peaked. Major U.S. indices, including the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite, showed varied movements. In Europe, the STOXX 600 and FTSEurofirst 300 saw positive gains. The U.S. central bank's recent tightening cycle, raising benchmark borrowing costs, has influenced market sentiments, with expectations of potential rate cuts amid weaker economic data and inflation concerns.
US 100 - W1 Timeframe
US 100 is currently approaching a major supply level that overlaps a strong resistance level on the weekly timeframe. What this means is that there is a likelihood of price reversing from the highlighted zone and sliding towards the 50-period moving average as a support.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 14602.26
Invalidation: 16705.10
US 500 - D1 Timeframe
On the daily timeframe chart, US 500 is currently trading within a supply zone, with a retest at a resistance trendline. Considering that the most-recent market structure has been bearish, I have reason to believe that price will continue in a bearish flush from here onwards.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 4429.44
Invalidation: 4603.21
APPLE - W1 Timeframe
APPLE stock is currently trading at a 3-month high, and is currently trading within a supply zone. There also seems to be a head-and-shoulder pattern being formed at the moment. With these in view, my sentiment is largely bearish, at least until the recent high gets broken.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 174.78
Invalidation: 198.20
CONCLUSION
The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. To succeed, you have to manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.
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