USD/JPY is aggressively dipping

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The Japanese yen gained amid the overall risk-off sentiment on the market. Let’s discuss the details.

What happened?

The Federal Reserve held a meeting yesterday, where it left rates at low levels until 2023. Nevertheless, market participants didn’t take it as dovish. Instead of that, the US dollar strengthened and outperformed most major currencies (except the Japanese yen).

Following this, the Fed claimed that the recovery path would be quite uncertain. As a result, they streamed their capital from risker currencies and stocks into safe-haven assets such as the US dollar and the Japanese yen. Choosing between two of them, the yen seems to be more attractive amid constant US-China tensions and worse-than-expected US retail sales.

Moreover, the Bank of Japan made a monetary policy report this morning. The central bank left asset purchases and interest rates at the current levels. Later on, officials said that they would unveil more stimulus aid if needed. What’s more important, the BOJ added optimistic comments about the Japan output, exports, and consumer spending. As a result, it added some tailwinds to the Japanese yen.

Technical tips

USD/JPY has approached to the key support of 104.70 on the daily chart. The move below will drive the price even deeper to the low of July 31 at 104.30. In the opposite scenario, if it jumps above the intraday high of 105.10, it will clear the way towards the next round number at the 105.50 level.

Follow US unemployment claims at 15:30 MT time. They will add volatility to USD/JPY!

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FBS Analyst Team

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