The European Central Bank (ECB) has raised interest rates by 25 basis points, marking its tenth consecutive rate hike since July 2022 and bringing the total increase to 450 basis points. The ECB is primarily concerned about high inflation levels, both current and projected, with concerns extending into the future.
AUD/JPY represents some recent risk averse attitude
2020-12-08 • Updated
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
AUD/JPY: The pair is trading below the cloud. Further bearish pressure will lead the currency pair to retest the previous lows.
XAG/USD: Silver bulls return aggressively and send price above the 61.8 % retracement area. It seems that further bullish rally is possible.
European Market View
Asian equity markets were mixed after an uninspiring handover from the US where stocks pulled back from record levels. In the US, the House will conduct a vote on a 1-week continuing resolution on Wednesday to provide lawmakers more time to work on government spending and virus relief. Looking ahead, highlights from the macroeconomic calendar include German ZEW, EZ GDP (final). The dollar slid against most currencies as investors eyed potential stimulus and vaccine development. Sterling clung to hopes of a meeting between British Prime Minister Boris Johnston and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen salvaging a Brexit trade deal. Oil prices fell, extending losses from the previous session
EU Key Point
- France's Beaune: There is still room to negotiate on Brexit
- Germany reportedly to discuss tighter virus measures sometime this week
- Pfizer tells US officials that it cannot provide substantial additional vaccine doses until late June
- Germany reports 14,054 new coronavirus cases in the latest update today
- Gold extends gains to a fresh two-week high.
The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.
The odds of a final interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year have dropped after US job openings hit their lowest levels since early 2021. This has led to a correction in the US Dollar as traders reduced their bets on further rate hikes.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.