As you must already know, the direction of Gold is mainly dependent on the Price action of DXY (US Dollar index). So first, we take a look at the US Dollar index.
AUD/USD rose after the RBA meeting
2020-03-04 • Updated
As the market had expected, the Reserve Bank of Australia cut its interest rate from 0.75% to 0.5%. The Australian dollar rallied versus its US counterpart on the news as the decision had been priced in. In addition, the RBA didn’t signal further rate cuts.
On the D1, AUD/USD formed an inside bar on Monday. As long as the pair is staying above the support at 0.6505, it has a chance to rise above 0.6575 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the 2020 decline). The targets are at 0.6620 (downtrend resistance line) and 0.6660 (major support of 2019 and now resistance, 38.2% Fibo).
The decline below 0.6500 will reopen the way down to 0.6450.
Trade idea for AUD/USD
BUY 0.6580; TP 0.6620; SL 0.6560
On January 12, the Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, a key index for determining interest rates. While we await the release, experts forecast a decline in the CPI data, a hint at weaker Dollar values in the global markets.
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On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
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Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.