AUDUSD: Initiating Macro Bearish Reversal

AUDUSD: Initiating Macro Bearish Reversal

2024-02-07 • Updated

  • Bearish Scenario: Selling below 0.6516 with TP1: 0.65, TP2: 0.6487, and upon its breakout TP3: 0.6469. It is recommended to place a stop loss above 0.6541, at least 1% of the account capital. Trailing stop can be used.

  • Bullish Scenario: Buying above 0.6540 with TP1: 0.6572, TP2: 0.6594, and TP3: 0.66. It is recommended to set a stop loss (S.L.) below 0.6520 or at least 1% of the account capital.

Analysis from Daily Chart. Volume Profile and Structure.

AUDUSD may be facing a reversal of the bullish trend from the last quarter of 2023, with the breakdown of the December and January support at 0.6525, leaving resistance at 0.6624. The current correction may still extend towards the high volume node around 0.6565, to resume sales towards one of the high volume nodes of November at 0.6430 and the round level 0.64. This scenario will be active as long as the retracement does not break above 0.66 and the resistance at 0.6624. The RSI positioned in negative territory confirms a bearish momentum for the pair.


Scenario from H2 Chart.

The current correction leaves a local resistance at 0.6540, whose decisive breakout will extend purchases towards the daily bullish average range at 0.6572, opening the door to reach Friday's uncovered POC at 0.6594, thus covering the volume inefficiency or volume gap left by Friday's decline. This is a selling zone that will encourage bearish entry to resume pair sales.

On the other hand, an anticipated bearish scenario will be activated with quotes below the broken support at 0.6525 towards Tuesday's uncovered POC at 0.6493, whose breakout in a second touch will break the correction support at 0.6487, indicating a continued decline towards the next support and buying zone around 0.6466.

*Uncovered POC: POC = Point of Control: It is the level or zone where the highest volume concentration occurred. If there was previously a downward movement from it, it is considered a selling zone and forms a resistance zone. Conversely, if there was previously an upward impulse, it is considered a buying zone, usually located at lows, forming support zones.


Risk Management Consideration:

**It is very important that risk management be based on capital and traded volume. For this, a maximum risk of 1% of the capital is recommended. It is suggested to use risk management indicators like Easy Order.



This document does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell financial products and should not be considered as a solicitation or offer to engage in transactions. This document is economic research by the author and is not intended to provide investment advice or solicit securities transactions or other types of investment in FBS. Although all investment involves some degree of risk, the risk of loss in trading forex and other leveraged assets can be substantial. Therefore, if you are considering trading in this market, you should be aware of the risks associated with this product to make informed decisions before investing. The material presented here should not be interpreted as advice or trading strategy. All prices mentioned in this report are for informational purposes only.


CAD: Markets Await GDP Release
CAD: Markets Await GDP Release

During the Asian session on Wednesday, the USD/CAD pair rebounded after two days of losses, reaching around 1.3590. This uptick is fueled by a stronger US dollar and lower crude oil prices, which put pressure on the Canadian dollar. The decline in Western Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil prices to approximately $80.70 is attributed to...

Trade of The Week: AUDNZD Trade Breakdown
Trade of The Week: AUDNZD Trade Breakdown

The Australian Dollar (AUD) rebounds on Monday, despite a slight dip in the US Dollar (USD) and higher US Treasury yields. Investors are eyeing Australian monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for February and US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Q4 2023. The AUD gains momentum as the ASX 200 Index rises, especially in mining and energy sectors. Additionally, the Aussie...

XAUUSD: Markets Slow Down Ahead of NFP
XAUUSD: Markets Slow Down Ahead of NFP

Gold prices rose on Monday as the US Dollar weakened amidst speculation about potential Federal Reserve rate cuts starting in June. This weakened Dollar was partly due to improved risk sentiment pushing US Treasury yields lower. Despite facing challenges from declining yields, gold prices recovered to nearly $2,170 per troy ounce, driven by the Dollar's weakness. Federal Reserve Chair...

Latest news

USD: Powell Speaks on Cutting Interest Rates
USD: Powell Speaks on Cutting Interest Rates

Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...

WTT: Currency Pairs To Trade In April
WTT: Currency Pairs To Trade In April

Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.

Deposit with your local payment systems

Data collection notice

FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.


A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in

If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat

Internal error. Please try again later

Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera