August 19-23: key events for major currencies

August 19-23: key events for major currencies

2019-11-11 • Updated

The economic calendar for the upcoming week contains a number of important events. The following information will prepare you for successful trading. 

Tuesday, Aug. 20, 04:30 MT time

RBA’s Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

Pairs to trade: AUD/USD, AUD/NZD, AUD/JPY

The minutes of the latest Reserve Bank of Australia’s meeting should provide some insight into the plans of the central bank. The last time, the RBA let the market know that it’s not in a hurry to cut interest rates. This provided the AUD with support versus the USD and helped it to strengthen against the NZD. This time, the AUD will be able to keep stabilizing if the RBA sticks to this opinion and doesn’t signal the upcoming rate cuts. At the same time, if the regulator sounds dovish, the AUD will lose the ground it fought so hard to gain. 

Wednesday, Aug. 21, 15:30 MT time

Canada’s CPI

Pairs to trade: USD/CAD, CAD/JPY

When most central banks start to turn dovish, the remaining ones are under pressure to follow suit. Canada has released weaker-than-expected employment figures at the start of August. That’s why investors will be especially eager to see whether the other key Canadian economic indicators falter or not. As a result, they will watch CPI (consumer price index, i,e, the indicator of inflation) on Wednesday and the release of the nation’s retail sales on Friday. The higher the readings relative to the forecast and the previous levels, the better for the CAD.

Wednesday, Aug. 21, 21:00 MT time

FOMC Meeting Minutes

Pairs to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD 

The Federal Reserve was less dovish than expected at its July meeting and this supported the USD and helped it strengthen, especially versus commodity currencies like the AUD. The minutes of the meeting will give us more information on what the Federal Reserve’s members discussed at the end of last month and how they viewed the prospects of the US economy. The release will have a strong impact on the USD in all major pairs, but the Fed’s symposium in Jackson Hole at the end of the week will be even more important for the greenback (you will find more about this event at the end of the article). 

Thursday, Aug. 22, 10:15-11:00 MT time

European Flash Manufacturing & Services PMIs; ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts

Pairs to trade: EUR/USD, EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY

Purchase Managers Indexes due in the euro area offer a fresh scan of the region’s economic health. So far, there were many reasons to worry about the euro: the euro zone’s industrial production contracted by 1.6% m/m in June. Figures from Germany, Europe’s key economy, also turned out to be quite bad. The policy of the European Central Bank depends on the incoming data, so the PMIs will give the regulator more information to consider. In addition, the accounts of the ECB’s previous meeting might hint how much the members of the regulator are willing to ease policy in order to save the struggling economy. All in all, the odds are that the PMIs will be low and that the EUR will once again feel the negative pressure. 

Friday, Aug. 23, 01:45 MT time

New Zealand’s Retail Sales

Pairs to trade: NZD/USD, AUD/NZD

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has surprised the market this month by cutting its interest rate not by 25, but by 50 bps. The question, of course, is what the central bank is going to do next. It’s not surprising that this largely depends on the economic data released in the country, in particular, retail sales for the second quarter. So far, the figures out of New Zealand have been mixed: employment change was positive, but the Business NZ manufacturing index fell below the key level of 50 points for the first time since 2012. As a result, a strong retail sales reading will encourage bullish correction in the NZD, while a weak reading will make traders continue selling the currency.  

Thursday, Aug. 22, Friday, Aug. 23

Jackson Hole Symposium

Pairs to trade: all majors

This event will gather together the top officials of the Federal Reserve as well as the representatives of other central banks. The Fed’s members will have to comment on the recent spike in trade tensions between the United States and China. In addition, the inversion in the Treasury yield curve last week made a lot of investors panic because such a thing usually occurs ahead of a recession. As a result, the Fed will have to address this topic as well. The future fate the of the USD will depend on whether the American central bank chooses to soothe the market with the promise of more easing (in this case, the USD will decline) or say that it’s necessary to wait and see how serious are the risks (in this case, the USD will strengthen).

Other things to watch

There are also fundamental factors which aren’t included in the economic calendar but that will still make a great impact on exchange rates. Here they are:

  • The US-Sino trade war. The latest news is that the US delayed some of the new tariffs on China’s imports. However, President Trump said on Friday that "the longer the trade war goes on, the weaker China gets and the stronger we get." Beijing, in its turn, has promised to retaliate. Expect further comments that will move the market. If the comments are positive, it will be good for the AUD, the NZD, and the CAD. If not, then the JPY and the USD will strengthen. 
  • A confidence vote in Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte will take place on August 20. This means political risk and the possibility of snap election (negative for the EUR). 
  • Political news from Britain. Opposition to Prime Minister Johnson’s intention to take Britain out of the EU with or without a deal is growing. There’s more volatility ahead for the GBP. 

Good luck with your trading! Follow us on Facebook and Telegram for more updates! 

Similar

How Will China’s Regulation Affect Oil?
How Will China’s Regulation Affect Oil?

China has issued new oil product export quotas to allow oil companies to send surplus barrels overseas, particularly Sinopec, which has the highest volume among quota holders. While the exact quota volume remains undisclosed, oil companies are forecasted to export approximately 3.5 million metric tons of clean oil products in September, a 10% increase from August.

The Oil Market in the Month of June
The Oil Market in the Month of June

Thanks to the incredible advancements in horizontal drilling and fracking technology, the United States has experienced a mind-blowing shale revolution. They've become the heavyweight champion of crude oil production, leaving Saudi Arabia and Russia in the dust. They even turned the tables and became net exporters of refined petroleum products in 2011.

Oil Market Outlook
Oil Market Outlook

Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday but are still expected to show losses for the week due to concerns about slowing growth in the US and China. US crude futures rose 2.7% to $70.41 per barrel, while the Brent contract increased by 2.5% to $74.33 per barrel.

Latest news

Gold is Rising Despite Inflation Returns
Gold is Rising Despite Inflation Returns

Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.

Can the Chinese Economy Recover?
Can the Chinese Economy Recover?

Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.

Deposit with your local payment systems

Data collection notice

FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.

Callback

A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in

If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat

Internal error. Please try again later

Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera