2020-10-22 • Updated
The US-Chinese relationship has been tense amid Trump’s governance, but if Biden wins, the situation may change. Let’s find out what it means for the Chinese yuan.
The presidential candidate Joe Biden claimed that current tariffs for Chinese goods are too high and need to be decreased as they create drawbacks not only for the Chinese side, but also for American companies and consumers that are forced to overpay.
However, everybody understands that Biden won’t impose lower tariffs immediately after his victory. Of course, it will take some time, but if he wins, it will reduce the market uncertainty. Investors will be confident in his further rational actions over the Chinese trade agreement.
The Lombard Odier analysts forecast that USD/CNH will reach 6.50, while currently it trades at the 6.70 level. It’s quite possible as the CNH has been already declining since May.
USD/CNH has been trading in a descending channel for over 5 months. Today the pair bounced off the lower trend line and took a breath after falling for so long. The upcoming presidential debate and impetus in fiscal stimulus deteriorated the market sentiment and underpinned the safe-haven USD. The most possible scenario is that the pair will rise to the resistance zone near 6.7500, where it will reverse and then start falling again, sticking to its long-term bearish trend. Support levels are 6.6250 and 6.6000.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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