Bitcoin & Gold - Safe Haven Amid Bank Crisis

Bitcoin & Gold - Safe Haven Amid Bank Crisis

2023-03-24 • Updated

Investor confidence in the global financial system has been shaken by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse. As a result, many are turning to bearer assets, such as gold and bitcoin, to store value outside of the system without relying on third parties. This has led to a surge in demand for physical gold bars and coins, with some investors even calling for hyperbitcoinisation. With a potential target of around $35,000, both gold and bitcoin may continue to increase in value. Hyperbitcoinisation is a hypothetical scenario in which Bitcoin is widely accepted by merchants and individuals alike, leading to its price rising dramatically and it becoming the dominant form of money in use.

How does this reflect on the Technical Analysis side of things? Let's see;

US Dollar - 4H 


The US Dollar (DXY) after a long bearish run has commenced a move that can be considered as a retracement move; since it has not yet broken through any major price levels yet. This retracement has, however, reached the 88% of the Fibonacci retracement, and there is also the 50-period MA acting as a resistance. Should this play out and the Dollar indeed gets weaker, we can expect to see higher prices on Gold and Bitcoin as investor flock into these 'safe havens.'

Analysts’ Expectations: 

Direction: Bearish

Target: 102.330

Invalidation: 103.600



XAUUSD is currently stalking the supply zone at the $2004 price region. If price should be rejected from that zone, I have marked out the $1970 area as a point of interest where we may get to see Gold resume its bullish momentum. The presence of the 50 and 100 MAs is an added confirmation of the bullish intent.

Analysts’ Expectations: 

Direction: Bullish

Target: $2011.00

Invalidation: $1962.70



BTCUSD (Bitcoin) began a bull-run early this month and has since then maintained a strong bullish sentiment with very abrupt retracements. The current price action on Bitcoin suggests, however, that another retracement could occur - based on the attenuation around the 100 MA. My expectation is that Bitcoin dips slightly lower than the 200 MA and the trendline support, before resuming its bullish momentum.

Analysts’ Expectations:

Direction: Bearish

Target: $28,000

Invalidation: $26,000


The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. Thus, to succeed, you have to manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.


You can access more of such trade ideas and prompt market updates on the telegram channel.


How Did EUR React to the ECB Meeting? 
How Did EUR React to the ECB Meeting? 

The European Central Bank (ECB) has raised interest rates by 25 basis points, marking its tenth consecutive rate hike since July 2022 and bringing the total increase to 450 basis points. The ECB is primarily concerned about high inflation levels, both current and projected, with concerns extending into the future.

Can the CPI Release Reverse The USD? 
Can the CPI Release Reverse The USD? 

The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.

Will the NFP help the greenback?
Will the NFP help the greenback?

The odds of a final interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year have dropped after US job openings hit their lowest levels since early 2021. This has led to a correction in the US Dollar as traders reduced their bets on further rate hikes.

Latest news

Gold is Rising Despite Inflation Returns
Gold is Rising Despite Inflation Returns

Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.

Can the Chinese Economy Recover?
Can the Chinese Economy Recover?

Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.

Deposit with your local payment systems

Data collection notice

FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.


A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in

If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat

Internal error. Please try again later

Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera