2021-08-20 • Updated
The latest minutes of the Federal Reserve’s meeting showed most Fed officials agreed they could start slowing the pace of bond purchases later this year given the progress made toward inflation and employment goals. That brought a lot of fear to the markets as S&P500 dropped to the bottom of the rising channel and NASDAQ fell to the 50-day moving average. Today traders await
the release of the US unemployment claims and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index.
Let’s start with Brent as oil is the main markets’ driving force.
Brent, 4H chart
Brent broke through the support line which used to hold it since May 2021. As usually happens, when price breaks through the massive level it returns and tests it once again. That’s why we assume Brent to return in the $68-69 range.
US500, Daily chart
US500, 4H chart
It is important to watch both assets, as changes in oil price tell us about the perspectives of economic recovery. It might be a good time to open US500 short trade as soon as Brent reaches the support line for a retest. Until then, it is a long trade opportunity.
Earnings season is a crucial time for investors and analysts, as it provides insights into how well companies have performed over the past quarter and gives indications of their future earnings. In 2023, expectations for US Q1 earnings were low due to economic challenges and rising interest rates. Surprisingly, many companies beat these low expectations, with 75% of S&P 500 companies surpassing forecasts.
When I started trading stocks a few years ago, I often needed to pay more attention to my technical analysis skills and trust that the market would play fair according to my analysis. I have since discovered that the safer approach to trading stocks is to, more often than not, seek out investing opportunities - that is, catching stock commodities with a potential to rise.
The S&P 500 had a good week due to the impressive start of Q1 earnings and favorable inflation data. In March, the consumer price index rose 5%, lower than the previous month's 6%, and met economists' expectations.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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