2023-06-07 • Updated
Get ready for some suspense as the Bank of Canada faces a tough decision on whether to raise interest rates or keep them on hold. The resilient Canadian economy and the goal of curbing inflation further are at the heart of this dilemma. While some money markets and economists predict another rate hike, others believe the central bank should exercise caution and wait, hinting at a possible increase later in the summer. The Bank of Canada's rate hike spree hit a "conditional pause" in March after eight consecutive increases, bringing the policy rate to 4.5% from the pandemic-era lows of 0.25%. The central bank has been closely monitoring data, waiting for signs of a cooling economy that would help bring inflation back down to its target of two percent, projected to be achieved by 2024. The decision awaits, and it's bound to impact forex markets. Stay tuned for the verdict, and keep your trading strategies nimble.
Following the rejection from the rally-base-rally demand zone’s confluence with the support trendline, AUDCAD has seen a massive push upwards. There is a high likelihood that the bullish price action continues until the resistance or supply zone area is reached. The supply zone has a few confluences which I expect to yield a good amount of selling pressure. The confluences include;
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 0.88610
Invalidation: 0.90435
GBPCAD is currently trading within a rising channel and has reached the support trendline of the channel. The trendline support aligns perfectly with the 100-Day moving average support, and the moving averages are all bullish. A drop-base-rally demand zone also serves as a confluence to the factors above, thus, lending more credence to the bullish sentiment.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bullish
Target: 1.69991
Invalidation: 1.65047
NZDCAD looks like it’s prepping for a massive bullish move. This is not a random assumption. The sentiment is based on the current consolidation within the rally-base-rally demand zone and the trendline support of the descending, which fits perfectly within the frame of the demand zone.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bullish
Target: 0.83400
Invalidation: 0.80974
In line with the previous analyses, EURCAD also presents a strong bullish case based on the confluence of the drop-base-rally demand zone, the 200-period moving average support, the bullish array of the moving averages, and the trendline support. As a result, my trade sentiment is bullish for the time being.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bullish
Target: 1.45048
Invalidation: 1.42142
The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. Thus, to succeed, you have to manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.
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The European Central Bank (ECB) has raised interest rates by 25 basis points, marking its tenth consecutive rate hike since July 2022 and bringing the total increase to 450 basis points. The ECB is primarily concerned about high inflation levels, both current and projected, with concerns extending into the future.
The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.
The odds of a final interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year have dropped after US job openings hit their lowest levels since early 2021. This has led to a correction in the US Dollar as traders reduced their bets on further rate hikes.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
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