Careful With US GDP Data Today

Careful With US GDP Data Today

2021-08-26 • Updated

After few days of lack of fundamentals, all eyes are headed towards the US GDP & Jobless Claims later today. The Q2 GDP is expected to post the highest reading since the Q3 of last year, while the Core PCE Price Index is expected to remain stable at 6.1%.

On the other hand, the Jobless Claims is expected to rise slightly from the lowest level since the beginning of Covid19 era to 350K.

However, traders are advised to be very careful, the impact of these numbers is unlikely to last. Most probably it will be a quick move right after the announcement and markets will likely stabilize and it might be a nonevent as all eyes will turn again to Jackson Hall symposium which remains the key for now.

One thing everyone is waiting for, will the Fed stick to its plan to taper QE before the end of the year? If yes, the entire move that we saw in equities since the beginning of this week will be reversed in a short period of time, while if the Federal Reserve decided to surprise the markets with a delay due to Delta variant fears, markets will be celebrating the continuation of the Fed's liquidity.

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