2020-12-23 • Updated
USD/JPY: The pair is trading below the cloud. A downward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bearish outlook.
XAG/USD: Silver after a remarkable strength yesterday lost 4% and now stands above 38.2% retracement area.
The dollar was down on Wednesday morning in Asia, despite caution over the new B.1.1.7 strain of the COVID-19 virus pushing investors turn toward safe-haven assets. The discovery of the B.1.1.7 strain, first seen in the U.K., saw London and southeastern England put under Tier 4 lockdowns. The Philippines banned all U.K. flights from Dec. 24 earlier in the day, joining over 40 countries that have closed their borders to the U.K. and causing travel chaos just a few days before Christmas. Demand for the dollar had been weakening as the rollout of vaccines and the possibility of more U.S. stimulus measures boosted hopes for a global economic recovery from COVID-19, sapping demand for the dollar and other safe-haven currencies.
The European Central Bank (ECB) has raised interest rates by 25 basis points, marking its tenth consecutive rate hike since July 2022 and bringing the total increase to 450 basis points. The ECB is primarily concerned about high inflation levels, both current and projected, with concerns extending into the future.
The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.
The odds of a final interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year have dropped after US job openings hit their lowest levels since early 2021. This has led to a correction in the US Dollar as traders reduced their bets on further rate hikes.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
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