Dollar slightly softer to start the session

Dollar slightly softer to start the session

2022-01-19 • Updated

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Ichimoku Kinko Hyo

AUD/JPY: The pair is trading above the cloud. An upward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bullish outlook.

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Fibonacci Levels

XAG/USD: Silver after a remarkable selloff is trading above the 23.6% retracement area.

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EU Market View

Asian equity markets traded cautiously as the region struggled to break from the weak performance among global peers. EU is reportedly working on an Airbus (AIR FP) - Boeing (BA) trade offer for the upcoming Biden administration. European stock markets are seen opening largely unchanged Tuesday, after a suite of US Federal Reserve officials hinted that it could start reducing its monetary stimulus later this year. Global equity markets have posted strong gains over the last few weeks, boosted by stimulus from central banks and governments alike, and the idea that vaccinations were on their way. However, investors are now starting to weigh up whether valuations are becoming too stretched, especially with a global surge in Covid-19 cases, following the emergence of new highly transmissible strains of the virus. 

Looking ahead, highlights from macroeconomic calendar include US NFIB Business Optimism, EIA STEO, Fed Discount Rate Minutes, BoE's Broadbent, Fed's Brainard, Kaplan, Mester, Rosengren, ECB's de Cos, supply from the UK and US. Three regional Fed Presidents -- Richmond's Tom Barkin, Atlanta's Raphael Bostic and Dallas' Robert Kaplan -- all hinted more or less clearly that the 'tapering' of bond purchases could begin toward the end of 2021. The Fed is currently pumping $120 billion a month into the economy through such asset purchases. Global equity markets have posted strong gains over the last few weeks, boosted by stimulus from central banks and governments alike, and the idea that vaccinations were on their way.

EU Key Point

  • ECB's Schnabel supports that Inflation is not dead
  • Germany reports 12 802 new coronavirus cases in latest update today
  • Reuters is reporting that China plans a further Hong Kong crackdown

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The Crypto market usually also has a rough time in September. Bitcoin lost 12.7% in September 2021, 17.4% in 2020, 17.5% in 2018, 21.4% in 2017 and 45.4% in 2015. The main cryptocurrency increased by 13.3% and 3.95% in 2016 and 2019, respectively.

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