2020-03-03 • Updated
Performance in 2020: -0.6%
Last day range: 1.1037 – 1.1184
52-week range: 1.0780-1.1515
The euro has been in decline against the US dollar since the very beginning of 2018. That means, for more than two years. Now, this long-term trend is put to a test. Who would know that it would be Coronavirus that led to such an outcome?
So the euro has retaken all its losses to the USD that we have seen since the beginning of February. In fact, it is now one step away to recover all it gave to the US dollar during this year. If it comes to test the resistance of 1.1250, which is the December high and a 6-months high, that will be a sound tactical victory.
Strategically, reaching up to 1.1250 would mean defying the long-term downward trend (market as a blue straight line). That resistance level is less than in 100 pips from the current 1.1145, and EUR/USD made stronger leaps in the recent days. So even if the target may not be an easy one, it is completely realistic for a day’s trade.
Geopolitically, the question about the EUR/USD and its further advancements gets increasingly intriguing as the trade between the US and Europe doesn’t seem to be moving along the most pacifying note on behalf of each side, and Brexit is another catalyst to that “friendly” trade process. Let’s watch what the ECB president Christine Lagarde says next week, and what the US Fed brings to the table the week after.
Resistance 1.1250
Support 1.1000
Earnings season is a crucial time for investors and analysts, as it provides insights into how well companies have performed over the past quarter and gives indications of their future earnings. In 2023, expectations for US Q1 earnings were low due to economic challenges and rising interest rates. Surprisingly, many companies beat these low expectations, with 75% of S&P 500 companies surpassing forecasts.
When I started trading stocks a few years ago, I often needed to pay more attention to my technical analysis skills and trust that the market would play fair according to my analysis. I have since discovered that the safer approach to trading stocks is to, more often than not, seek out investing opportunities - that is, catching stock commodities with a potential to rise.
The S&P 500 had a good week due to the impressive start of Q1 earnings and favorable inflation data. In March, the consumer price index rose 5%, lower than the previous month's 6%, and met economists' expectations.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
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