The era of COVID-19 cheap money is over. Who is afraid of the Fed's tightening cycle? Apparently not stock-market investors.
EUR: another winner in the field
2020-03-03 • Updated
Performance in 2020: -0.6%
Last day range: 1.1037 – 1.1184
52-week range: 1.0780-1.1515
Euro's winning spree
The euro has been in decline against the US dollar since the very beginning of 2018. That means, for more than two years. Now, this long-term trend is put to a test. Who would know that it would be Coronavirus that led to such an outcome?
So the euro has retaken all its losses to the USD that we have seen since the beginning of February. In fact, it is now one step away to recover all it gave to the US dollar during this year. If it comes to test the resistance of 1.1250, which is the December high and a 6-months high, that will be a sound tactical victory.
Strategically, reaching up to 1.1250 would mean defying the long-term downward trend (market as a blue straight line). That resistance level is less than in 100 pips from the current 1.1145, and EUR/USD made stronger leaps in the recent days. So even if the target may not be an easy one, it is completely realistic for a day’s trade.
Geopolitically, the question about the EUR/USD and its further advancements gets increasingly intriguing as the trade between the US and Europe doesn’t seem to be moving along the most pacifying note on behalf of each side, and Brexit is another catalyst to that “friendly” trade process. Let’s watch what the ECB president Christine Lagarde says next week, and what the US Fed brings to the table the week after.
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