ONLINE FOREX BROKER
2019-11-11 • Updated
Trade ideas
SELL 123.00; TP 122.20; SL 123.20
SELL 124.20; TP 123.00; SL 124.55
It looks like the euro is vulnerable to further declines versus the Japanese yen. Yesterday, the European Commission cut the euro zone’s GDP growth forecast for 2019 to 1.2% from 1.3% predicted in February. The reading is well below the 1.9% growth seen in 2018. This hurt EUR/JPY. Today, the ECB will release the accounts of its last meeting, and the risks for the euro are once again negative. In addition, the yen is gaining strength as a safe haven asset amid the problems in the US-Sino trade talks.
EUR/JPY was supported at 123.10 on Tuesday (50% of the advance since January). The decline below this level will open the way down to 122.15. On the other hand, it’s necessary to mention that the pair has already made a significant move down this week, so it can make an attempt to correct to 124.00. Selling pressure will reappear at this point. To return to power bulls need to push the price above the weekly pivot point at 124.65.
The Bank of England (BoE) has dramatically shifted its economic forecasts. They no longer expect a recession in the UK and have upgraded their growth projections. This year, the BoE predicts GDP growth of +0.25%, a significant improvement from previous expectations. Next year's forecast is even more optimistic, with a projected growth of 0.75%.
On Wednesday, the US dollar weakened in anticipation of the US CPI data, which could influence market exposure. A Bloomberg survey predicts a year-on-year read of 5.0% to the end of April. Market sentiment is affected by the US debt ceiling and issues with regional banks. While the major APAC equity indices are...
The influence of the dollar as the world reserve currency is gradually falling. Is it possible that the euro will replace it? We are not so sure about that.
Are you aware of the recent crackdown by the SEC on major cryptocurrency exchanges, Binance US and Coinbase? Surprisingly, savvy Bitcoin traders seem unfazed, as options-based implied volatility metrics indicate. It appears that the lawsuits were anticipated and already factored into the market. Implied volatility reflects investors' expectations of price turbulence, but little evidence of heightened concern exists.
Let's dive into the recent debt ceiling saga in the US and its implications for the economy, deficit, and inflation. The good news is that a new debt deal is on the horizon, saving us from a potential default on June 5. Phew! This deal will impact the economy by providing stability and avoiding a financial catastrophe.
Get ready for some suspense as the Bank of Canada faces a tough decision on whether to raise interest rates or keep them on hold. The resilient Canadian economy and the goal of curbing inflation further are at the heart of this dilemma. While some money markets and economists predict another rate hike, others believe the central bank should exercise caution and wait, hinting at a possible increase later in the summer.
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