2020-02-13 • Updated
Performance in 2020: -2.6%
Last day range: 1.0862-1.0923
52-week range: 1.0862-1.1338
It comes from spring 2017, almost three years ago. That’s how low the EUR/USD trades now. Therefore, if things keep going as they do now for this currency pair, you will have to hang your support levels in the “emptiness downstairs”. Unless you prefer looking at a weekly timeframe.
The realistic answer to this question is that there are no solid factors to support the euro. In the meantime, those against it are numerous. Weak domestics growth in the Eurozone, questionable monetary policy line on behalf of the ECB, gloomy perspective of the outcome of the Brexit transition period, a significant probability of trade tensions with the US – you name it. The USD, on the contrary, has an 11-year continuous expansion of the American economy, strong labor indicators, notable resilience of the stock market even despite the Coronavirus, and justified actions of the Fed as presented by Jerome Powell this week. As you can see, it is little surprise that the EUR/USD has dropped to where it has not been for the last three years. And there is a high likelihood that we are yet to see it further down.
Resistance 1.0923
Support 1.0840
Earnings season is a crucial time for investors and analysts, as it provides insights into how well companies have performed over the past quarter and gives indications of their future earnings. In 2023, expectations for US Q1 earnings were low due to economic challenges and rising interest rates. Surprisingly, many companies beat these low expectations, with 75% of S&P 500 companies surpassing forecasts.
When I started trading stocks a few years ago, I often needed to pay more attention to my technical analysis skills and trust that the market would play fair according to my analysis. I have since discovered that the safer approach to trading stocks is to, more often than not, seek out investing opportunities - that is, catching stock commodities with a potential to rise.
The S&P 500 had a good week due to the impressive start of Q1 earnings and favorable inflation data. In March, the consumer price index rose 5%, lower than the previous month's 6%, and met economists' expectations.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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