2022-12-16 • Actualizada
Traders can’t wait for Thursday to come! Why? Two significant events will be out: the US inflation report and the ECB policy decision. They will probably shake the markets and create good opportunities for traders to earn a decent profit!
ECB is expected to avoid discussing any changes as the German ZEW economic sentiment came out worse than expected, that’s why the bank doesn’t have enough reasons to tighten the policy.
If the US inflation is greater than the market forecast, the Federal Reserve may start discussing tapering (cutting asset purchases), which in theory would push the USD up. In the opposite scenario, if the US inflation is less than anticipated, the USD may weaken. However, it seems that traders do not expect the Fed to react even if inflation is hot as according to the central bank, inflation is only transitory. No action from the Fed – the USD is likely to fall. Follow the report and catch the overall market flow!
On the EUR/USD chart, the diamond pattern has recently occurred. The pair broke through the lower line at the right, which meant the trend changed its direction downwards and it was interpreted as a sell signal. The pair dropped to 1.2100. From that point, EUR/USD has recovered some of its losses and started modestly rising.
The pair has already crossed the 50-period moving average. It needs to break above the 100-period moving average of 1.2200 as well to confirm the bullish momentum. If it manages to cross it, the way up to the high of June 3 at 1.2215 will be open.
On the flip side, if it drops below the support zone of 1.2170-1.2160, it may fall to the 200-period moving average of 1.2140 and then to the low of late Mat at 1.2130.
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 18100 con TP1:17900, TP2:17814 y 17630 // Escenario alcista anticipado: Compras intradía sobre 18130 con TP: 18219, TP2: 18270 y TP3: 18428
Escenario principal: Compras sobre 15346 con TP: 15480 con S.L. por debajo de 15310 Escenario alternativo: Ventas por debajo de 15300 con TP1: 15227 y TP2: 15145
Los 6 principales eventos fundamentales en la actualidad y la perspectiva técnica para el DXY y los Índices Bursátiles de EE.UU
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 1.0820 / 1.0841... Escenario alcista: Compras sobre 1.0827...
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 2200 / 2194... Escenario alcista más próximo: Compras sobre 2197... Escenario alcista tras retroceso: Considera compras en torno a cada zona de demanda...
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 5220 ... Escenario alcista: Compras sobre 5225 (Si el precio falla en romper por debajo con decisión)
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