As you must already know, the direction of Gold is mainly dependent on the Price action of DXY (US Dollar index). So first, we take a look at the US Dollar index.
EUR/USD finished a wave
2019-11-11 • Updated
BUY 1.1630 SL 1.1575 TP1 1.1820 TP2 1.1920
BUY 1.1520 SL 1.1465 TP1 1.1620 TP2 1.182 TP2 1,1920
On the daily chart, EUR/USD finished the wave 4-5 within the “Widening wedge”. Use pullbacks towards 23.6%, 38.2% and 50% for opening long positions. We don’t exclude the possibility that the prices will rebound from the lower border of the uptrend channel.
On H1, the break of diagonal support in the form of the lower border of the uptrend is a signal for a correction towards 113% and 88.6% targets of the junior and senior “Shark” patterns.
On January 12, the Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, a key index for determining interest rates. While we await the release, experts forecast a decline in the CPI data, a hint at weaker Dollar values in the global markets.
The trend in the scenario above is clearly bearish. We have also had a recent break of structure at the marked horizontal arrows, which means we can expect price to react from the supply zone that broke the structure.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates?
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.