The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.
EUR/USD is under pressure
2019-11-13 • Updated
SELL 1.0985; TP 1.0940; SL 1.1000
After EUR/USD broke the 1.1180/1.1070 range to the downside, it has been trading within the short-term downtrend. The 50-day MA at 1.1040 which used to be a support, acted as resistance making the euro move even lower. On the H4, moving averages are in a negative position. There’s support in the 1.10/1.0993 area (psychological level, 61.8% Fibo of the October advance). If the price gets below it, the next target will be at 1.0940 (78.6% Fibo).
Notice that the market awaits the improvement in the US CPI figures later today as well as the testimony of the Fed’s Chair Powell, so there will be volatility.
The odds of a final interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year have dropped after US job openings hit their lowest levels since early 2021. This has led to a correction in the US Dollar as traders reduced their bets on further rate hikes.
Here we go again, my friends. It’s time to look critically into the future of what trading opportunities September might have in store for us. As always, it is essential to note that the views expressed here are mine and should not be considered financial advice without proper examination.
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