
Gas alam adalah landasan ekonomi Eropa.
Diperbarui • 2019-11-11
Looking back into the recent past
The euro edged down to 1.0567 in the course the past week. There were several substantial headwinds for the single currency:
Investors continue to weigh political risk from the upcoming French presidential elections;
ECB President Mario Draghi in his last week noted that inflation in the euro area is not strong enough for a shift to tighter monetary policy. It boils down to a preference of the ECB policymakers to sticking with their current policy stance (running QE until the very end of the year, keeping rates on hold until significant pick-ups in interest rates).
Peeping into the future
The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi analysts believe that the EUR/USD downfall will be limited, because:
The opinion polls in France show anti-EU Marin le Pen has no chances to beat Emmanuelle Macron in the second round of presidential elections (the first round is to be held on April 23, the second one – May 7).
Source: opinionlab
Central bank’s data on portfolio flow in the euro-zone can become a real boost for the euro due to shift in long-term portfolio investments.
Nomura’s strategists are less confident in Macron’s win. They are preparing themselves for unexpected outcomes. In case of Macron’s victory, they expect EUR to rally with 1.15 target by year-end. In reverse scenario, Nomura would bet on EUR/USD testing 0.97 level (long-term forecasts).
Technically, we might expect a further EUR weakness towards 1.0555 (61.8% Fibo level traced from last-year low), or lower to 1.0490 level last seen in February. Overall, only a move above 1.0625 (50% Fibo retracement level), or 1.0600 would indicate that the downward pressure has eased and that we may target higher levels at 1.0660 (50-day MA), 1.0665.
Gas alam adalah landasan ekonomi Eropa.
Pada minggu ini akan ada 3 bank sentral yang akan merilis kebijakan moneternya, yaitu RBA, BOC dan ECB…
Adanya faktor geopolitk di Jerman dapat membuat pair EURUSD yang naik dalam 4 hari belakangan ini dapat terkoreksi turun…
Yen Jepang gagal memikat para investor pada perdagangan Selasa (02/04/2024) meski ada peluang atas kemungkinan intervensi dan..Sentimen penghindaran risiko masih berpotensi memberikan kekuatan pada safe-haven
XAUUSD naik ke rekor tertinggi baru pada perdagangan Senin (01/04/2024), di tengah meningkatnya spekulasi penurunan suku bunga..melanjutkan kenaikan kuat minggu lalu hingga membentuk level puncak baru sepanjang masa
Pasar saham Asia sebagian masih libur dan sebagian lagi menguat pada perdagangan Senin (01/04/2024), karena optimisme data pabrikan Tiongkok mendukung..potensi intervensi otoritas Jepang terhadap yen Jepang diperkirakan berada di zona 152 – 155 yen.
FBS menyimpan catatan data Anda untuk menjalankan website ini. Dengan menekan tombol "Setuju", Anda menyetujui kebijakan Privasi kami.
Permintaan Anda diterima.
Manajer kami akan menghubungi Anda
Permintaan panggilan balik berikutnya untuk nomor telepon ini
akan tersedia setelah
Jika Anda memiliki masalah mendesak, silakan hubungi kami melalui
Live chat
Internal error. Silahkan coba lagi
Jangan buang waktu Anda – tetap awasi dampak NFP terhadap dolar dan raup profitnya!