After the bullish start of the year, the rand has started to weaken since the last Thursday. Let’s point out the main factors affecting the ZAR and set the key levels for this week’s trading.
EUR/USD: outlook for June 5 - 9
EUR/USD currency pair was trading in a horizontal band during the past week as investors await the European Central bank’s meeting on June 8. ECB policymakers are set to strike a cautious tone about future tightening of monetary policy because of doubt around inflation. Preliminary data released on Wednesday fell short of market expectations having posted 1.4% in May which is well below the bank’s 2% target. The ECB president Mario Draghi said on Tuesday that a massive monetary policy stimulus is still needed to fight with weak inflation figures. On Friday, EUR/USD regained its strength following a bit disappointing US labor market report. The nonfarm payrolls revised to 138K from expected 182K. Wage growth was mediocre, while the jobless rate fell a bit lower to 4.3%. in general, the report wasn’t so bad. It shouldn’t prevent Fed from raising rate at its June meeting.
Apart from the ECB meeting, we will receive the Eurozone countries’ PMIs and industrial production figures on Monday and Friday respectively. Political turmoil in the US seems to come back to life next week as the former FBI director Comey is scheduled to testify in an open and closed session on June 8 before the Senate intelligence committee which is currently investigating into possible collusion between Russian entities and Trump’s election campaign.
At the present moment, the pair is trading at 1.1265. The undertone for the single currency is still positive, but only a clear break of 1.3000 will indicate that EUR/USD has entered into bullish phase. The key supports are located at 1.1205, and at 1.1170.
If we look at the daily charts of the US dollar index and the USD/JPY pair, we will see a misleading trend.
Britain has to leave the European Union in 66 days. Will it leave with a trade deal (good for the GBP) or without one (bad for the GBP)?
The market is likely going to continue declining. The main intraday target is the next support at 1.1526 - 1.1508...
Bullish Ichimoku Cloud with horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with horizontal lines; the market is under strong resistance and prices entered into the channel Tenkan-Kijun.
AUD/CAD falling inside impulse waves 3 and (C) Next sell target - 0…