Earnings season is a crucial time for investors and analysts, as it provides insights into how well companies have performed over the past quarter and gives indications of their future earnings. In 2023, expectations for US Q1 earnings were low due to economic challenges and rising interest rates. Surprisingly, many companies beat these low expectations, with 75% of S&P 500 companies surpassing forecasts.
EUR/USD reminded about a slingshot strategy
2020-01-24 • Updated
Thursday, January 23, was the day of the ECB meeting. The European Central Bank launched a broad review of its policy in order to redefine its main goal and how to achieve it. ECB President Christine Lagarde held a press conference and market players considered her comments dovish, i.e. negative for the EUR.
Central bank meetings, and the ECB meetings in particular, offer a chance to trade on the news. Such trading can be done with the help of many different strategies. One of them is the so-called “slingshot strategy”. According to our observations, this strategy tends to work especially well during the ECB meeting days. When we described this strategy in our Guidebook, we took as an example the euro's price action on December 8, 2016. The moves of EUR/USD, which took place yesterday, resemble that case a great deal. The obvious conclusion is that this strategy may be very helpful during the next meetings of the European regulator.
So, what’s the slingshot strategy for trading on the news?
Step 1. Open the H1 or M30 chart about 30 minutes ahead of the event and locate the nearest support and resistance levels.
Step 2. If the price then pierces one of this lines (in our example, the resistance), don’t buy on the breakout. Wait for the pair to return below the resistance. If it forms a spike upwards and then slips below the support, it’s a sell signal.
The next events that will drive EUR/USD are the releases of the European PMIs. Technically, the fix below 1.1040 will open the way down to 1.1000. Resistance is now at 1.1065 (100-day MA).
When I started trading stocks a few years ago, I often needed to pay more attention to my technical analysis skills and trust that the market would play fair according to my analysis. I have since discovered that the safer approach to trading stocks is to, more often than not, seek out investing opportunities - that is, catching stock commodities with a potential to rise.
The S&P 500 had a good week due to the impressive start of Q1 earnings and favorable inflation data. In March, the consumer price index rose 5%, lower than the previous month's 6%, and met economists' expectations.
Bullish Scenario: Buys above 17910 with TP:18098.07, TP2:18277, and TP3: 18415 Bearish Scenario: Sells below 17850 with TP1:17730, TP2: 17700
During his program on CNBC on February 28, Jim Cramer expressed frustration with the impact of earnings reports on market behavior, noting how they often prompt rash decisions by average investors. He criticized the short-term focus and lack of attention to nuance in news coverage of earnings. Cramer cited examples of Home Depot and Lowe's, highlighting how investors reacted hastily to headline news without considering the broader context provided in earnings calls.
After creating record highs, Wall Street's main indexes opened on Wednesday and began to edge lower, reflecting cautious sentiment among investors. They're eagerly awaiting crucial inflation data that could impact the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. The upcoming release of the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index is expected...