EUR/GBP and Brexit: a

EUR/GBP and Brexit: a "move week"

2020-11-16 • Updated

It is Monday, November 16. December 31 is six weeks away. Brexit is almost exactly in the same place it was in October, September, August, July, and, basically, any month before. What we can comment on so far is this: eight months passed, and the EU and the UK are as far away from each other in their divorce process as they are geographically. Still, Irish Foreign Minister Simon Coveney called this week a “move week”. Can it be so indeed?

Really not sure now but let’s orient ourselves in the details of the Brexit status now.

Last week, two major Brexit architects left the camp of Boris Johnson. Lee Cain, offered a position of Chief of Staff, resigned rejecting the offer on Wednesday, and the next day, Dominic Cummings, a central figure and a key aide of the UK PM, announced he would leave duty after the New Year. There was no indication given to what exactly those departures are related to, and observers could not resist giving in to speculations on those reasons and their possible effect on Brexit. Here, the primary negotiator from the UK side, David Frost, was quick to dissipate any doubt: the British stance will stay as adamant on its demands as it has been until now. Noting that “some progress in a positive direction in recent days”, he explained that the deal “might not succeed” – which by now is quite clear, after more than half a year of pretty fruitless discussions.

Brussels wants London to make concessions first. London wants Brussels to step back first. The UK wants freer access to its own fishing waters referring to the rights of sovereignty; at the same time, it wants to retain access to the European market because this is where most of the catch is sold. In the meantime, Europe wants to keep access to the British fishing waters as well with no desire to make it less than before. Also, it wants EU legislative bodies to be able to enforce the deals. The level playing field for business is the third crucial point where there has been little process.

In a nutshell, none of the sides wants to be the first to step back. In the meantime, EUR/GBP has already touched the summer lows of 0.8900. Why is the pound getting stronger against the euro? Psychologically, that may be explained by the fact that the GBP has more to lose. Hopes of getting Brexit straight push it against the euro, and the last months have been pretty full of hopes – and pretty much nothing more. Note that in the long-run, the euro is still appreciating against the pound: since the beginning of the year, EUR/GBP moved from 0.83 to above 0.87, and the uptrend hasn’t been broken yet. The September-November bearish incursion may well be just the last ray of hope for the GBP before it softens. Be very careful with the supports of 0.8900 and 0.8870: if this week nothing moves, EUR/GBP may reverse to the upside once again.

EURGBPDaily.png

                                                                                                      LOG IN

Similar

Oil: Russia-Ukraine Crisis Could Boost Oil Prices
Oil: Russia-Ukraine Crisis Could Boost Oil Prices

Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...

WTI and Brent React To a Key Pivot
WTI and Brent React To a Key Pivot

Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...

Latest news

USD: Powell Speaks on Cutting Interest Rates
USD: Powell Speaks on Cutting Interest Rates

Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...

WTT: Currency Pairs To Trade In April
WTT: Currency Pairs To Trade In April

Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.

Deposit with your local payment systems

Data collection notice

FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.

Callback

 1
 93
 355
 213
 1684
 376
 244
 1264
 672
 1268
 54
 374
 297
 61
 43
 994
 1242
 973
 880
 1246
 375
 32
 501
 229
 1441
 975
 591
 387
 267
 55
 246
 673
 359
 226
 257
 855
 237
 1
 238
 1345
 236
 235
 56
 86
 61
 61
 57
 269
 242
 243
 682
 506
 225
 385
 53
 357
 420
 45
 253
 1767
 1809
 593
 20
 503
 240
 291
 372
 251
 500
 298
 679
 358
 33
 594
 689
 241
 220
 995
 49
 233
 350
 30
 299
 1473
 590
 1671
 502
 224
 245
 592
 509
 39
 504
 852
 36
 354
 91
 62
 98
 964
 353
 44
 972
 39
 1876
 81
 962
 7
 254
 686
 850
 82
 965
 996
 856
 371
 961
 266
 231
 218
 423
 370
 352
 853
 389
 261
 265
 60
 960
 223
 356
 692
 596
 222
 230
 262
 52
 691
 373
 377
 976
 382
 1664
 212
 258
 95
 264
 674
 977
 31
 599
 687
 64
 505
 227
 234
 683
 672
 1670
 47
 968
 92
 680
 970
 507
 675
 595
 51
 63
 64
 48
 351
 1787
 974
 262
 40
 7
 250
 590
 290
 1869
 1758
 590
 508
 1784
 685
 378
 239
 966
 221
 381
 248
 232
 65
 421
 386
 677
 252
 27
 500
 34
 94
 249
 597
 268
 46
 41
 963
 886
 992
 255
 66
 670
 228
 690
 676
 1868
 216
 90
 993
 1649
 688
 256
 380
 971
 44
 1
 1
 598
 998
 678
 58
 84
 1284
 1
 681
 2
 967
 260
 263
00:00
00:00
00:00
01:00
02:00
03:00
04:00
05:00
06:00
07:00
08:00
09:00
10:00
11:00
12:00
13:00
14:00
15:00
16:00
17:00
18:00
19:00
20:00
21:00
22:00
23:00
23:00
23:00
00:00
01:00
02:00
03:00
04:00
05:00
06:00
07:00
08:00
09:00
10:00
11:00
12:00
13:00
14:00
15:00
16:00
17:00
18:00
19:00
20:00
21:00
22:00
23:00

A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in

If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat

Internal error. Please try again later

Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera