2023-02-14 • Updated
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policymakers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
If the ECB raises interest rates, it makes borrowing more expensive, which can increase the demand for the euro and cause its value to appreciate. Conversely, if the ECB lowers interest rates, borrowing becomes cheaper, which can decrease the demand for the euro and cause its value to depreciate.
Considering the fundamental breakdown above, we will draw our conclusions from the outlook of price on the charts using price action.
On the weekly timeframe as seen from the chart above, EURUSD is currently keying into a key resistance area. The 200-day moving average can also be seen aligning perfectly with a trendline resistance to serve as added confluence. We can also mention the Fibonacci retracement level, and the RSI (Relative Strength Index) which is in the overbought position (above 70). All these points are at the likelihood of a continuation of the overall downtrend on the weekly timeframe.
Analysts’ Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 1.07100
Invalidation: 1.11840
EURGBP from the chart is trading within a rising wedge whilst trading above the moving average array. Though the direction here is not crystal clear, our expectation is that price will likely continue bullish until it rides into the induced wick of the swing high (highest high on the chart).
Analysts’ Expectations:
Direction: Bullish
Target: 0.90250
Invalidation: 0.87500
The price action on the EURJPY chart shows an interesting area of accumulation (inside the downward channel). The marked rectangle is an area of supply that price is likely to tap into before giving the actual bearish impulse according to the trend based on the 100- and 200- day moving averages.
Analysts’ Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 140.200
Invalidation: 142.820
This EURCAD chart has a real potential of providing some good movement. The reason for this is because of the divergence on the RSI (Relative Strength Index) in the overbought position. The 200-Period Moving Average is also a formidable area of resistance, and considering how it overlaps the weekly pivot zone, we can expect some real action shortly.
Analysts’ Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 1.71450
Invalidation: 1.47250
The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. Thus, to succeed, you must manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.
You can access more of such trade ideas and prompt market updates on the telegram channel.
The European Central Bank (ECB) has raised interest rates by 25 basis points, marking its tenth consecutive rate hike since July 2022 and bringing the total increase to 450 basis points. The ECB is primarily concerned about high inflation levels, both current and projected, with concerns extending into the future.
The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.
The odds of a final interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year have dropped after US job openings hit their lowest levels since early 2021. This has led to a correction in the US Dollar as traders reduced their bets on further rate hikes.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.
Your request is accepted.
A manager will call you shortly.
Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in
If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat
Internal error. Please try again later
Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
|
