2020-09-04 • Updated
The poor Canadian data in combination with the positive US report should push USD/CAD to the upside. Jump in for technical analysis!
All attention to USD/CAD as economic releases have just come out from both sides. The Canadian labor report revealed that 245 800 people found jobs in August, while analysts had predicted 262 500. At the same time, the Canadian unemployment rate was 10.2%, which was slightly worse than the forecast of 10.1%. The negative data may weigh on the loonie.
As for the US economic releases, non-farm payrolls came out almost as planned: 1.371 million Americans became employed during August, while analysts foresaw 1.375 million. The US unemployment rate came out much better than anticipated: 8.4% vs. the forecast of 9.8%. Besides, average hourly earnings beat estimates too. They turned out 0.4%, while the forecast was 0.0%. The optimistic data should add tailwinds to the US dollar.
USD/CAD has been trading in the descending channel since the end of June. However, now the pair may even break through the upper trend line amid such strong fundamentals. Actually, it has failed to cross it so far. There is the main question now: will be stronger fundamentals or technical factors? Let’s see what will happen. The move above the intersection of the yesterday’s high and upper trend line at 1.3130 may drive the pair upper to 1.3190. On the other hand, if the pair falls below the key psychological mark of 1.3000, it may dip down to the low of January 6 at 1.2950. Watch out closely the breakout of these levels and follow further news!
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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