US stocks are set to weaken at the open today, consolidating after gains in the previous session, with investors wary amid few signs of progress over the next virus relief bill.
GBP/CHF: testing the resistance
On the weekly chart of GBPCHF, we see two spikes in the course of a larger falling trend of the price. These took place in April 2018 and March-May 2019. Both times the price either traded at the level of the 200-period Moving Average but eventually did not fix the breakthrough, or actually broke it, but then went into decline the next week. We are observing a similar picture now – the price is testing the 200-period MA once again.
The daily chart shows in more detail the collision course of the rising trend in place since August (lower trend line) and the larger falling trend since April 2018 (upper trend line). If the price behaves the same way it did before, it will come closer to the upper line and bounce back down. For this scenario, the first big support on the way would be 1.2740 – the currency pair has been consolidating and moving sideways along this level during the entire month from the middle of October until the middle of November. On the other hand, if the market intends to set an entirely new large trend, then the price should be able to break the upper trend line and aim at 1.3400 as the first bullish threshold.
Asian equity markets traded mixed amid a lack of fresh catalysts and with the region failing to take advantage of the mild tailwinds from Wall Street.
The risk of a second wave of coronavirus is more likely to put pressure on rates. Risky assets are supported by fiscal and monetary stimulus.
The pair was falling down amid the waning US dollar. However, the situation changed this month.
Dollar continues to keep firmer on the day, all eyes on the US jobs report later.
Asian equity markets failed to sustain the positive tone from Wall Street where all major indices notched gains as technology sector outperformed for another day.