2020-08-14 • Updated
The British pound surged higher amid the optimistic news of the upcoming Brexit agreement. Recently, David Frost, the chief EU-UK negotiator, claimed that the deal may be done in September. Just to remind you, the deadline is scheduled for December 31. Meanwhile, it’s always the EU, which makes final decisions. The UK had already broken the promise to end Brexit talks in July. Therefore, the EU’s initial deadline for October seems more realistic. Elsewhere, two countries still have some disputes over the fishing waters, the UK’s sovereignty, the country’s laws and courts. Nevertheless, the fact that the Brexit agreement may be reached earlier than the deadline has calmed the market.
Moreover, the coronavirus has been taken under control in the United Kingdom, unlike other European countries, that recorded increasing infections. The UK was one of the last ones to impose a lockdown, but it kept strict restrictions for longer time. Thus, now when businesses have reopened, the British economic activity should improve significantly in the second part of the year and may even outperform other countries. Let’s look at the charts.
GBP/USD is trading above 1.3000. There is an initial resistance near the 1.3120 level, the pair bounced off this level several times. If GBP/USD breaks it through, it may surge to the next resistance at the high of August 6 at 1.3160, which the pair has failed to cross two times already. On the flip side, if the US dollar gets stronger, the pair may fall to the yesterday low at 1.3050. The move below this level will push the price lower to the support line at 1.3020. Follow further news!
China has issued new oil product export quotas to allow oil companies to send surplus barrels overseas, particularly Sinopec, which has the highest volume among quota holders. While the exact quota volume remains undisclosed, oil companies are forecasted to export approximately 3.5 million metric tons of clean oil products in September, a 10% increase from August.
Thanks to the incredible advancements in horizontal drilling and fracking technology, the United States has experienced a mind-blowing shale revolution. They've become the heavyweight champion of crude oil production, leaving Saudi Arabia and Russia in the dust. They even turned the tables and became net exporters of refined petroleum products in 2011.
Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday but are still expected to show losses for the week due to concerns about slowing growth in the US and China. US crude futures rose 2.7% to $70.41 per barrel, while the Brent contract increased by 2.5% to $74.33 per barrel.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
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