ONLINE FOREX BROKER
2019-11-11 • Updated
Trade ideas
SELL 144.00; TP1 143.60; TP2 143.10; SL 144.15
BUY 145.10; TP 146.00; SL 144.90
GBP/JPY has been moving up since the start of January. The pair broke out of a bullish flag and reached new highs in the 145.00 area. The natural target on the upside would be to test the 2018 downtrend resistance line in the 147.00 area.
However, so far GBP/JPY has been capped by the declining 200-day MA at 144.60. The Awesome Oscillator didn’t confirm the recent high. As a result, a pullback down to 100-day MA may bring the pair to 143.60 or to the next support at 143.00.
On H4, we can see that the most recent consolidation took place between 145.00 and 144.05. The direction of the breakout will decide the near-term fate of the pound.
On January 12, the Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, a key index for determining interest rates. While we await the release, experts forecast a decline in the CPI data, a hint at weaker Dollar values in the global markets.
The trend in the scenario above is clearly bearish. We have also had a recent break of structure at the marked horizontal arrows, which means we can expect price to react from the supply zone that broke the structure.
The most prominent technical factor that jumped at me as soon as I saw the chart though was the wedge I marked above.
This week, there are a few high-probability trade ideas I'd like to recommend to you. Trading these setups, be sure to implement a proper risk management approach.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates?
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