2020-07-08 • Updated
Almost all currencies have loosened against the greenback today, but the GBP keeps rallying. How is it possible?
As you can see below: the Australian dollar and the Euro weakened today amid the overall risk-off market sentiment. It was caused by the fresh resurgence of new virus cases in the USA, Australia and some parts of Europe. However, the British pound stays strong, even despite its risk sensitivity. The main reason should be the encouraging data from the UK. The British construction PMI came better than analysts expected. It turned out 55.3, while the forecast was 46.0. Also, today the house price index bet estimates. They contracted only by 0.1%, while analysts anticipated the drop by 0.8%. By the way, the EU’s chief negotiator Michel Barnier arrived in the UK for another round of Brexit talks. Sooner they make an agreement, better for the British pound.
Traders are intrigued as GBP/USD is approaching the key resistance (or as they call it “game changer”) at the 1.253-1.254 area. It’s important because it will define the further EUR/USD movement. Will it continue its 6-day rally or drop following its peers? If it breaks this area through, bulls will win and the price may surge to the next resistance at 1.2595 and then even to the 200-day moving average at 1.2666. Otherwise, it will reverse and fall to the support at the 50-day moving average at 1.2420. The next barrier will be at 1.2300. Don’t lose your chance!
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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