Intraday and swing scenarios based on price action and volume profile.
AUD/USD is dropping after the RBA decision and statement
2021-02-02 • Updated
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
AUD/JPY: The pair is trading below the cloud. A downward pressure would lead the pair to exit further the cloud, confirming a bearish outlook.
XAG/USD: Silver after yesterday’s rally is trading above 38.2% retracement area.
EU Market View
Asian equity markets advanced after the firm handover from Wall St with the resurgence led by the tech sector. European stock markets are seen opening higher Tuesday, helped by signs of progress towards further U.S. stimulus, while concerns over volatile retail-led trading receded. U.S. President Joe Biden sat down late Monday with a group of ten Republican senators to discuss their proposal of a scaled-back Covid-19 stimulus package, in a welcome sign of bipartisan co-operation in Washington.
That said, Biden insisted on keeping the $1.9 trillion price tag that he proposed in January, saying that the downsized effort does not go far enough to solve the coronavirus crisis. And senior Democrats later filed a joint $1.9 trillion budget measure in a step toward aimed at bypassing Republicans.
Oil prices pushed higher Tuesday, helped by newswire reports that the major oil producers have shown restraint in terms of production levels in January even as prices rose.
Looking ahead, highlights from macroeconomic calendar include Eurozone GDP, OPEC JTC meeting, Fed's Kaplan, Williams, Mester, speeches.
EU Key Point
- Silver in retreat, falls by 4% back below $28.
- EU's von der Leyen: Target is to vaccinate 70% of adult population in Europe by summer.
- Germany reports 6,114 new coronavirus cases, 861 deaths in latest update today.
- The Reserve Bank of today Australia said the cash rate is not expected to rise until 2024.
Corrective Bearish Scenario: Sells below 38680 with TP1: 38560, TP2: 38500, TP3: 38432 Continuation Bullish Scenario: Buys above 38816 with TP: 39000
Bullish Scenario: Buy between 17515 and 17600 with TP1: 17681; TP2: 17720 intraday, and TP3: 17750 / 18000 in extension. Bearish Scenario in case of breaking the buying zone: Sell below 17500 with TP1: 17469; TP2: 17421, and TP3: 17358 in extension.
Bullish Scenario: Buys above 17910 with TP:18098.07, TP2:18277, and TP3: 18415 Bearish Scenario: Sells below 17850 with TP1:17730, TP2: 17700
During his program on CNBC on February 28, Jim Cramer expressed frustration with the impact of earnings reports on market behavior, noting how they often prompt rash decisions by average investors. He criticized the short-term focus and lack of attention to nuance in news coverage of earnings. Cramer cited examples of Home Depot and Lowe's, highlighting how investors reacted hastily to headline news without considering the broader context provided in earnings calls.
After creating record highs, Wall Street's main indexes opened on Wednesday and began to edge lower, reflecting cautious sentiment among investors. They're eagerly awaiting crucial inflation data that could impact the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. The upcoming release of the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index is expected...