Musim Dingin Mendatang dan Harga Energi yang Memanas, Apa yang akan Dilakukan Eropa?
Gas alam adalah landasan ekonomi Eropa.
GBP: under pressure
Diperbarui • 2020-05-12
Let’s look at the factors that move the British pound and what restrictions it can meet on its way.
Market sensitivity
First of all, GBP is quite sensitive to the market sentiment. This week the British pound has dropped as investors worry about the second wave of coronavirus. Those concerns were based on a small outbreak of covid-19 in Wuhan. Also, a poor data from Germany proved that easing lockdowns is quite risky as it has leaded to the reproduction of new coronavirus cases there.
Stocks and GBP are in one boat
The British pound always comes along with the stock market as they both depend on a risk appetite. So, when stocks decline, investors turn away from pound to the safe-haven US dollar. There is a tight positive correlation in the price dynamic between GBP and S&P 500. According to the ING Bank, the S&P 500 price will contract by 20% this year. So, we can assume that GBP will move in the same direction in the long term. However, any weaknesses in stock markets are short-lived and often followed by fresh buying. It’s better to continue watching changes in the stock market to get a hint.
EU and UK
Another aspect to consider when you trade GBP is the result of trade negotiations between the EU and UK. Both sides still have some disagreements, when it remains nearly 8 weeks till the end of their deadline to make a deal. These worries about the failure to come to a common decision may limit the upside potential of pound or even push it down.
Upcoming data from UK
The GDP release will take place tomorrow on April 13 at 9:00 MT time. It will reveal how deep was the damage from the coronavirus. Analysts are expecting a contraction of -7%. Investors are now adjusting “to the prospect of a long, slow, economic re-opening,” said experts.
Brief technical outlook
After strong fluctuations during February and March EUR/GBP stabilized and entered a horizontal corridor in April. Now it’s trading in a horizontal corridor. Look for the break out at 0.8845, when it may continue increasing further. Support lines are at 0.869 and 0.8645.
Menyerupai
Minyak bisa mencapai $100, apa artinya bagi pasar dan inflasi?
Semakin banyak analis percaya bahwa minyak Brent akan melampaui $100 per barel. Jadi, seberapa kuat minyak akan menggerakkan pasar, dan bagaimana arah pergerakannya? Mari kita cari tahu!
EURAUD Dapat Terkoreksi Naik
Pada minggu ini akan ada 3 bank sentral yang akan merilis kebijakan moneternya, yaitu RBA, BOC dan ECB…
Berita terbaru
Yen Terus Terpuruk Mendekati Level Terendah Multi-Dekade
Yen Jepang gagal memikat para investor pada perdagangan Selasa (02/04/2024) meski ada peluang atas kemungkinan intervensi dan..Sentimen penghindaran risiko masih berpotensi memberikan kekuatan pada safe-haven
Sanggupkan Emas Berlama-lama di Puncak?
XAUUSD naik ke rekor tertinggi baru pada perdagangan Senin (01/04/2024), di tengah meningkatnya spekulasi penurunan suku bunga..melanjutkan kenaikan kuat minggu lalu hingga membentuk level puncak baru sepanjang masa
Sebagian Pasar Masih Libur, Yen Stabil di Bawah 152
Pasar saham Asia sebagian masih libur dan sebagian lagi menguat pada perdagangan Senin (01/04/2024), karena optimisme data pabrikan Tiongkok mendukung..potensi intervensi otoritas Jepang terhadap yen Jepang diperkirakan berada di zona 152 – 155 yen.
