2020-07-27 • Updated
The British pound is climbing up for the 7th day in a row. Will it keep rallying?
According to Richard Perry of Hantec Markets, the pound should continue moving up. Indeed, it has just crossed the key resistance at 78.6% Fibonacci level at 1.2816, that’s why it may surge to the next resistance at 1.3000.
The contradictory data from the United Kingdom came on Friday. The British retails sales surpassed analysts’ expectations and turned out 13.9%, while the forecast was 8.3%. The PMIs were better than anticipated as well. The GfK consumer confidence was -27, while the forecast was -25. Nevertheless, the British pound is rising further no matter what.
The greenback continues moving down for the 7th day straight. It gives an additional impetus for the further GBP/USD growth. The US data came worse than economists foresaw yesterday. Both PMIs, Manufacturing and Services, turned out worse than expected. The Services PMI even went below 50.0, that marked the industry contraction. Of course, it was the result of the fresh coronavirus outbreak in the country. New virus cases are still surging in most of the US states and weighing on the USD. Today the data was mixed. Core durable goods orders (excluding transportation items) were worse than the forecast, while durable goods orders came better. They increase by 7.3%, while analysts anticipated 7.0%.
In the long term the British pound highly depends on the Brexit talks. The sooner the EU and the UK reach an agreement, the better for the pound sterling. Also, the GBP is really sensitive to the overall market sentiment. Keep your finger on the pulse!
GBP/USD is moving upward to the key psychological mark at 1.3000. If it breaks it through, it may surge higher to the 100.0% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.3200. Support levels are at the 78.6% Fibo level at 1.2816 and at the 200-day moving average at 1.2700.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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