
Powell wants a soft landing for inflation, as Greenspan did in 1994. But it looks like he will get a hard landing.
2021-07-06 • Updated
4H Chart
Daily Chart
GBP/USD has managed to rise for the third trading day in a row including today’s Asian session, while the daily technical indicators are moving higher gradually. This supports the idea of a short-term retracement to the upside before the downtrend resumes later. In the meantime, GBP/USD is nearing a new selling zone which stands at 1.3950 and represents its 100-day MA followed by the psychological resistance at 1.40. This is the area where we will be interested in shorting GBP/USD not only on the short-term but on the medium-term as well, despite the fact that GBP/USD managed to hold above its uptrend line on the daily chart. We believe that this is a short-term play before the downside pressure resumes especially with the continuous estimates of a sooner tapering by the Federal Reserve.
S3 |
S2 |
S1 |
Pivot |
R1 |
R2 |
R3 |
1.3739 |
1.3789 |
1.3817 |
1.3839 |
1.3867 |
1.3889 |
1.3939 |
Powell wants a soft landing for inflation, as Greenspan did in 1994. But it looks like he will get a hard landing.
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The US dollar index rose to 105.40 after the Fed’s 75-basis-point key rate hike, while the stock and the crypto markets fell. However, during the past few days, investors and traders returned to risk assets as they expect inflation growth to slow. Moreover, Jerome Powell, the head of the Federal Reserve, announced the Fed might start cutting the key rate by 2024, which is the most evident hint of an upcoming market reversal.
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