The antipodean central banks are seemed to do pretty well with the weak currency. Aren’t they?
GBP/USD: outlook for August 25 - September 1
GBP/USD made another break to the downside. It fell below the 100-day MA (1.2875) and 1.2850 and hit a near-two-month low.
The outlook for the British pound is still clouded by concerns about Brexit risk and economic fundamentals. Data showed revised quarterly growth of 0.3% in the second quarter, while household spending remained weak.
The British government is trying to move forward formal Brexit discussions. There was a series of position papers outlining potential compromises over key issues. However, the nation’s future still remains very uncertain.
The UK economic calendar will be light. Monday is a summer bank holiday, so trading volumes will decrease. The most important release – manufacturing PMI – will come out on Friday.
Technical picture continues to look bearish. The next Fibonacci level of June-August advance is at 1.2735. Below it, support will be at 1.2650 (200-day MA). Pullbacks to the upside will meet resistance at 1.2850 and 1.2930 ahead of 1.3000.
The last "Pennant" pattern has been broken, so bulls found resistance at 1.2915. Nevertheless, the market is likely going to move on, so we should...
USD/CHF remains weak across the board and stays strong with a bearish consolidation below the 200 SMA at H1 chart…
There's no any reversal pattern so far, so the market is likely going to test the nearest resistance area in the short term...