2019-11-11 • Updated
The British pound spiked to 1.2940 despite a disappointing UK GDP figures for the first quarter of 2017. Although GBP is overbought it has room for an extension to 1.2950 in the short term. In the longer term, the upward momentum might disappear as soon as the Brexit negotiations play out. GBP/USD currency pair regained its ground after UK Prime Minister Theresa May surprised markets by calling a snap general election on June 8.
While the election might strengthen the Conservative party’s position it will be extremely challenging for the UK to get a satisfactory agreement in the talks. German Chancellor Angela Merkel laid down a tough line for Brexit talks with the UK striving to remind Britain that it can’t expect a soft Brexit. A summit of EU leaders to conclude their response to the UK’s notification of exit will be held on April 29. So, the pound might be hurt on Monday in the early hours of the Asian session. In terms of economic data, we will be waiting UK manufacturing and construction purchasing managers’ indexes in the beginning of the week. The main focus will be on Wednesday’s FOMC meeting and Friday’s labor market report from the US. The Fed is widely expected stay on hold. So, the USD shouldn’t experience significant changes. NFP, unemployment rate and wage growth figures might bring some moves to the chart.
On the GBP/USD technical chart, we might notice that Splash and ledge pattern was implemented. Prices broke the upper border of the ledge (1.2900) and moved higher towards 1.2950 There is a small room for extension towards 1.3000/1.3020. The current upward momentum shouldn’t last long, though. Stochastic is trading in the overbought area for a long period of time. So, we will be waiting for some pullbacks towards the recent resistance levels, or lower, towards 1.2800, 1.2750 levels.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Bearish Scenario: Sales below 78.99 with TP1: 77.93, TP2: 77.45, and upon its breakout TP3: 76.56 and TP4: 75.70 Bullish Scenario: Purchases above 78.00 (wait for a pullback to this area) with TP1: 1679.00 (uncovered POC*), TP2: 79.33, and TP3: 79.66 intraday
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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