On January 12, the Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, a key index for determining interest rates. While we await the release, experts forecast a decline in the CPI data, a hint at weaker Dollar values in the global markets.
GBP/USD: pound is on the shelf
2019-11-11 • Updated
BUY 1.3580 SL 1.3525 TP1 1.368 TP2 1.381
SELL 1.3510 SL 1.3565 TP1 1.341 TP2 1.332
On the daily chart, there’s a short-term consolidation of GBP/USD in the 1.3490-1.3580 range. Bears are trying to return the pair inside the descending trend channel. Bulls count on continuation towards 127.2% target of AB=CD.
On H1, there’s a “Spike and ledge” pattern. The borders of the ledge are close to 1.3510 and 1.3580. A successful test of the upper level will lead to the uptrend’s resumption. A break of the lower border will increase the risks of a pullback.
The US Dollar has been remarkably sluggish for the past few weeks despite being within a distinct Demand zone. My expectation of a springing rebound off the demand zone has not exactly played out yet, however, the zone remains unbroken.
As I earlier indicated in my article this week, I am expecting an upward push from the Dollar as a reaction from the Demand zone I have marked out. The PPI release earlier moved prices a bit but lacked sufficient momentum to cause a significant break of structure - and thus, no change of trend.
This week, there are a few high-probability trade ideas I'd like to recommend to you. Trading these setups, be sure to implement a proper risk management approach.
On Thursday, the 2nd of February, the Bank of England will publish its report concerning interest rates and inflation data for the Eurozone. Professionals and investors anticipate that Andrew Bailey’s lead team of policy makers will likely raise interest rates to 4%; the highest in over a decade, for the tenth time in a row.
The first FOMC meeting comes after a buildup of anticipation from traders and investors alike, as the markets await what posture the Fed will take regarding the interest rates; would there be a hike or a cut in interest rates?