Following the CPI data release on Tuesday, the price of Gold dropped from its recent high at $2,000 all the way through to the $1980 region where it is currently sitting. As we anticipate what could be next for the yellow metal ahead of the Retails sales data release from the US. In the meantime...
Gold Breaks To New Highs. What Is Expected In December?
2023-11-30 • Updated
Gold prices, reaching the highest since May 5, are consolidating as traders await the US PCE Price Index, a key inflation indicator. The upcoming data could impact the Fed's policy, influencing the demand for the US Dollar and providing direction for gold. The Greenback sees some repositioning, recovering modestly ahead of the data risk. A positive tone in US equity futures acts as a headwind for gold, but the growing belief that the Fed might cut rates in March 2024 could limit significant dollar appreciation. Amid China's economic concerns, gold finds support in this nuanced market scenario.
XAUUSD - D1 Timeframe
As seen on the attached chart which shows the daily timeframe of XAUUSD (Gold), price seems to have created a head-and-shoulders pattern, with an initial rejection from the 88% of the Fibonacci retracement level. Based on this, I expect to see a pause in the bullish rally, at least, until price reaches the 50% Fibonacci level.
XAUUSD - H4 Timeframe
On the 4-Hour timeframe, a more cautious approach would be to wait for the break and retest of the trendline shown in the chart above, and then the bearish trend can be considered to be in motion.
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Gold prices, stable above $2,000 per ounce, commenced the week on an uptrend driven by a rallying US dollar and anticipation surrounding the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. Analysts highlight that the market is keen on the Fed's signals for the coming months rather than immediate announcements.
Intraday Bullish Scenario: Consider buying above 2028.50 with TP1: 2033, TP2: 2036, and TP3: 3039 on extension. Intraday Bearish Scenario: Look for sales below 2024 with TP1: 2000, TP2: 2016, and upon breakout TP3: 2013.
Intraday and swing scenarios based on price action and volume profile.
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Last week I gave a trade idea on XAUUSD with a target around the $2,020 price line. At the time of writing, XAUUSD already exceeded the target and I’m sure that would leave a lot of people wondering what to expect next. Below, I have presented my view of how I expect the price action to turn out in the meantime.