2020-12-02 • Updated
XAU/USD is eyeing $1 850. Will it be able to reach it?
Stimulus talks have resumed in the USA. US lawmakers proposed to unveil an aid of $908 billion. The combination of US stimulus hopes and negative real yields pushed the USD down and gold up. Elsewhere, Fed’s Powell held a meeting yesterday and gave quite dark comments about the current economic state. According to him, the recovery path is still uncertain, and the US economic activity is severely damaged. The widespread vaccinations are going to start soon if vaccines pass approval. However, the economy won’t quickly recover after it happens, it will need more time to rebound, and we will see some downbeat data for a while.
Gold has turned to the upside after touching the support of $1 770. It has broken through the 50-period moving average, so the way up to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $1 840 is clear now. It may meet some selling pressure near this level. However, if it manages to break through it, the way up to the 50% Fibo level of $1 865 will be clear. In the opposite scenario, if it drops below the intraday low of $1 810, it may fall to the key support of $1 800.
China has issued new oil product export quotas to allow oil companies to send surplus barrels overseas, particularly Sinopec, which has the highest volume among quota holders. While the exact quota volume remains undisclosed, oil companies are forecasted to export approximately 3.5 million metric tons of clean oil products in September, a 10% increase from August.
Thanks to the incredible advancements in horizontal drilling and fracking technology, the United States has experienced a mind-blowing shale revolution. They've become the heavyweight champion of crude oil production, leaving Saudi Arabia and Russia in the dust. They even turned the tables and became net exporters of refined petroleum products in 2011.
Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday but are still expected to show losses for the week due to concerns about slowing growth in the US and China. US crude futures rose 2.7% to $70.41 per barrel, while the Brent contract increased by 2.5% to $74.33 per barrel.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
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