2020-12-14 • Updated
XAU/USD has been falling due to market optimism. Will it keep moving down?
First of all, the FDA approved the vaccine of Pfizer and BioNTech for emergency use. That’s why the market sentiment improved, and investors streamed their capital to riskier currencies and stocks. Elsewhere, the EU and the UK agreed to continue negotiating, giving a signal that the deal may be reached soon. The prospect for the Brexit agreement added to the risk-on sentiment as well. Even hopes for the additional US stimulus package and the massive USD selloff haven’t helped gold to rise.
XAU/USD is moving inside the descending channel. It is approaching the key support of the 200-day moving average of $1 810. Gold is unlikely to break it down for the first attempt. That’s why we can expect it will bounce off this level initially. If it manages to break it down, it may drop to the next support at the low of November 30 at $1 770. On the flip side, the move above the recent highs of $1 845 will drive XAU/USD to the 50-period moving average of $1 870, which it has failed to cross several times. In a nutshell, gold is stuck between two moving averages.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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