2021-01-11 • Updated
XAU/USD went back above $1 850 after it reversed from the 200-day moving average. A more cautious risk sentiment on the market underpinned the safe-haven yellow metal. Indeed, new Covid-19 cases continue surging all over the world and investors consider that.
However, increasing US bond yields can limit the further rising of gold. Since Democrats will take the control of both houses of Congress, Biden is expected to inject trillions of dollars in fiscal stimulus to support the economy. After this announcement US stocks surged as well as US Treasury bond yields. Higher yields could raise demand for the US dollar, that’s why most traders will fear to make aggressive bets on XAU/USD.
Gold has failed to break through the 200-day moving average of $1 825 and turned to the upside. It may rise till it reaches the resistance of the 50-day moving average at $1 870, where the pullback is expected. In the opposite scenario, if gold drops below the support zone of $1 835-1 825, the way to the key psychological mark of $1 800 will be clear.
China has issued new oil product export quotas to allow oil companies to send surplus barrels overseas, particularly Sinopec, which has the highest volume among quota holders. While the exact quota volume remains undisclosed, oil companies are forecasted to export approximately 3.5 million metric tons of clean oil products in September, a 10% increase from August.
Thanks to the incredible advancements in horizontal drilling and fracking technology, the United States has experienced a mind-blowing shale revolution. They've become the heavyweight champion of crude oil production, leaving Saudi Arabia and Russia in the dust. They even turned the tables and became net exporters of refined petroleum products in 2011.
Oil prices rebounded slightly on Friday but are still expected to show losses for the week due to concerns about slowing growth in the US and China. US crude futures rose 2.7% to $70.41 per barrel, while the Brent contract increased by 2.5% to $74.33 per barrel.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.
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