GOLD: wait, wait, and buy

GOLD: wait, wait, and buy

2020-12-17 • Updated

Gold crossed the December highs of 1 875. By doing so, it entered the zone of two-month resistance reversing the losses of November. To complete the pattern, it would need to reach 1 900. That will likely happen in the mid-term, however, it is strongly advised to factor in the possibility of a downward retrace to 1 850 before or the area above it before an upswing takes the gold price to 1 900.


Therefore, tactically, it is advised that you wait and watch so far. The current bullish rally has been pretty powerful and may exhaust itself at any moment. When that happens, gold may into either a flattening period or retrace downward. A correction to the zone of 1 850 – 1 860 seems more likely. If that happens, that will be the recommended moment to enter the market.


Now, strategically, the channel 1 875 – 1 900 is the upper frontier of the five-month downtrend gold has been in since August. Most of the time, it has been trading below the primary resistance. However, the October high of 1 960 created a reference point to believe that there may be a secondary resistance – which is where the gold price may be aiming at. In any case, that just adds momentum to the potential of a bearish reversal: crossing the five-month resistance zone requires some effort, and even if 1 900 is reached in one shot, it will likely send the price downwards before it comes back up again.


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Nasdaq 100 (US100): Toward 17750
Nasdaq 100 (US100): Toward 17750

Bullish Scenario: Buy between 17515 and 17600 with TP1: 17681; TP2: 17720 intraday, and TP3: 17750 / 18000 in extension. Bearish Scenario in case of breaking the buying zone: Sell below 17500 with TP1: 17469; TP2: 17421, and TP3: 17358 in extension.

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