Usually, the Dollar and GOLD are negatively correlated. This means that the stronger the US-Dollar becomes, the lower Gold prices will be as many more investors will prefer liquid investments. Times of crises and the need to safeguard funds are the major exceptions to this.
Gold Is Pressed By Strong USD
2021-09-28 • Updated
What is happening?
Investors have favored gold at the start of the week due to the worries over China’s Evergrande debt crisis. As we know, the yellow metal tends to rise in times of market instability. However, the growth has stopped fast due to the strong US dollar (gold and the USD have an inverse relation). The greenback gained as traders expect the Federal Reserve to hike rates earlier than initially thought. Indeed, the US central bank has started talking in a more hawkish manner. As a result, the USD is likely to keep rising and gold – falling.
XAU/USD has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern. The lower line of the triangle intersects with the support level of $1730 – the low of August 9. If it breaks below this support line, it will mean that gold escapes the triangle, so the way down to the psychological mark of $1700 will be open. In the opposite scenario, if gold reverses up from the $1730 level, it may jump to $1750 – the recent high.
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A comparative examination of the strength of the US-Dollar often gives tangible insight into the direction of Gold (XAUUSD). The chart above indicates the expectation of a bullish price reaction from the demand zone
The US Dollar has been remarkably sluggish for the past few weeks despite being within a distinct Demand zone. My expectation of a springing rebound off the demand zone has not exactly played out yet, however, the zone remains unbroken.
For those who may be unfamiliar with Price Action trading, the horizontal arrows represent areas where the market structure was broken. As you can see in the scenario above, price broke below the previous low at the two marked instances