On May 4, the US Federal Reserve revealed the federal funds rate for the next two months. Even though a 50 basis points hike was widely expected, the future is not so clear. Let’s figure it out bit by bit!
Gold Loses the Chanсe to Survive!
2022-07-07 • Updated
What will happen?
The Bureau of Labor Statistics will post June’s US CPI data on July 13th. It seems like markets expect to see high numbers, as the US dollar index (DXY) is flying to 107.00 while risk assets keep being pressed.
Also, investors keep in mind that the Federal Reserve might increase the key rate by50 basis points at the end of July, sending it to 2.25%.
What to expect?
An upcoming key rate increase combined with the oil market prices dump will cool the inflation down. Investors, who usually buy gold on expectations of increasing inflation and sell it at the opposite moment, have been getting rid of the yellow metal since March 2022. There is no doubt that they will keep doing that, freeing up capital to buy riskier assets such as cryptocurrencies and stocks, some of which have lost over 50% since the start of the year.
XAUUSD has broken through the support trend line on the weekly timeframe with a strong
impulse. Currently, the price is heading towards $1745, the main on the same timeframe. As soon as a weekly candle closes below this level, XAUUSD will head towards $1725 and $1690.
However, the breakout might now happen right away. Risky traders might try to catch a pullback by buying gold at $1745 with the target at $1765.
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Apart from inflationary pressures, all other factors were serving as tailwinds to gold after reaching $2000 in August 2020. But inflation along with the slowing global economy are the factors that make gold shining brighter.
XAU/USD looks weak. Will it keep falling? Let's find out!
In the middle of September 2022, the Canadian dollar has fallen to a 2-year low against the USD
The US dollar index has all chances of reaching the 2000s high of 120.00.
The Consumer Price Index announcement by Statistics Canada is set for release in a few hours will reveal the state of inflation in the Canadian economy