What will happen? FOMC statement will be announced at 21:00 MT (GMT+3) on Wednesday, July 27…
Gold: no motivation for an uptrend?
2021-04-05 • Updated
With the news strains and the necessity of new lockdowns in many states, the virus is going bad in Europe – again. In the US, however, it looks comparatively stable – enough to let market observers get swayed by the prospects of a recovery that’s rolling all around. The latest NFP release that turned out better than expectations added to the optimism and investors turned away from gold.
Moreover, high US Treasury yields have been hammering the gold price to the downside lately. On top of that, there are cryptocurrencies now, with Bitcoin expected to reach hundreds of thousands of dollars in value over the next few years – which seems a plausible alternative to gold.
Together, these and other factors added up to make a solid reason for gold to stay in the downtrend and make new local lows. Will it change in the foreseeable future? It may. But so far, fundamentals are rather on a sideways-bearish side. At least, until the next US-China or another global geopolitical conflict erupts.
An almost direct-line downward diagonal of the 200-MA indicates that gold has been going down for quite some time already. Since summer 2020, to be precise. That means, for the last nine months, it’s been sliding down just to interrupt the downtrend by occasional upward incursions slightly above 50-MA and 100-MA. Very possible, we are now observing the same scenario. In this case, what is being formed now is a part of a fresh high that’ll see a downward reversal soon.
At the same time, the support of 1680 that was reinstated as such instead of getting broken last week suggests that the sideways pattern of the last three weeks may extend. Probably, this scenario should be taken as primary until bulls push gold to cross the resistance of $1755 – or drag it below $1680.
What is happening? On Monday, July 19th, gold traded lower as the rising numbers of coronavirus cases drove investors to move their savings into safe-haven assets such as the US dollar and Treasuries…
Gold prices tumbled during the first trading day of the week declining to as low as 1844 USD/Oz. However, it was able to trim these losses and closed the day around 1866 USD/Oz.
As we discussed in the previous article devoted to gold, the price is growing extremely fast after a dovish FOMC’s statement…
What happened? Facebook presented an earnings report on July 28…
In our FOMC Meeting live coverage on YouTube yesterday, we sent out a short signal on USD/JPY around 25 minutes after the decision and right before the press conference.