Earnings season is a crucial time for investors and analysts, as it provides insights into how well companies have performed over the past quarter and gives indications of their future earnings. In 2023, expectations for US Q1 earnings were low due to economic challenges and rising interest rates. Surprisingly, many companies beat these low expectations, with 75% of S&P 500 companies surpassing forecasts.
GOLD: the inevitable $1,800 ahead
2022-12-20 • Updated
Recently, gold climbed above $1,750 coming to test the resistance of May’s high of $1,764. That came as a result of a decisive day-long march upwards on Friday where it left the base at $1,722. What does it mean?
Friday was pretty full of second-wave fears and social clashes. Until now, both remain on the radar. Therefore, until we see people leave the streets and calm down, specifically in the US, and investors finish factoring in the reoccurrence of the virus at a large scale, gold will have the full right to rise.
Technically, we may well see more aggressive growth of the gold price. On the daily chart, the current rise to the highs of $1,750 and above merely completes the latest sideways episode at the higher border of the channel. In the meantime, the overall trend still has a lot of room for further advance upwards.
In the long-term, however, there is little evidence – so far – to expect the current curve (“2”) to be as steep as it was during the crisis of 2009-2010 (“1”). At the same time, while it has a milder inclination, it still has not entered the rounding-up stage, which geometrically is likely to open at approximately $1,800. For this reason, it is safe to assume that the current uncertainty about the second wave and other global issues will provide enough fuel to drive the gold price to $1,800 almost in a straight trajectory. Later on, however, it will ease if the global environment improves. If it doesn’t – the upward curve is still there…
When I started trading stocks a few years ago, I often needed to pay more attention to my technical analysis skills and trust that the market would play fair according to my analysis. I have since discovered that the safer approach to trading stocks is to, more often than not, seek out investing opportunities - that is, catching stock commodities with a potential to rise.
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