Gold: trade the lower drift

Gold: trade the lower drift

2021-01-22 • Updated

Cannot fight the feeling that the gold price wants to go sideways – again. The core of the channel would be between 1 840 and 1 860, with the outer borders being at 1 825 and 1 875. If that’s the case, gold will go to 1 840 first, possibly going through some fluctuation above that support, touch the low of 1 825 and revert to the upside.

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Here are the possible scenarios then.

Easy recovery

In this scenario, the gold price dips into the support channel 1 840 – 1 845 and then gets back up to 1 860 to conquer new local highs.

Lower drift

In bears and bulls are relatively even, the price will keep going sideways across the channel 1 840 – 1 845 for quite a while before moving to another baseline level.

Anchored

This scenario assumes the gold price will drop to 1 825 and stay there in the nearest short-term.

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