The European Central Bank (ECB) has raised interest rates by 25 basis points, marking its tenth consecutive rate hike since July 2022 and bringing the total increase to 450 basis points. The ECB is primarily concerned about high inflation levels, both current and projected, with concerns extending into the future.
GOLD: up to $1,600?
2020-02-18 • Updated
Performance in 2020: +4.6%
Last day range: $1,578 - $1,584
52-week range: $1,265 - $1,612
Will gold rise back to $1,600?
Gold trades at $1,585 per ounce – that’s almost as high as it was at the beginning of February, when the unfolding story of the Coronavirus was at the peak level of tension. Today, even with the number of new infection cases in the Hubei province decreasing compared to that of Monday, observers comment that the virus is far from being contained. China is on the way to compensate for the damaging effect of the outbreak. That supports AUD and NZD, slows down the flee-to-safe-haven momentum and improves an overall emotional state of the market. Strategically, however, that does not stop gold to keep rising. It will be of little surprise now if it finally gets back up to $1600. If the state of affairs continues the same as it is now for another week, this question most probably will be not “if” but “when”.
The upcoming August inflation data may send mixed signals. The 12-month headline inflation rate is expected to rise to 3.6%, causing concerns for the Biden administration. However, core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, is projected to decrease to 4.3%, aligning with the Federal Reserve's goals. Past price trends influence both figures, so looking at recent data for a more accurate picture is crucial.
The odds of a final interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year have dropped after US job openings hit their lowest levels since early 2021. This has led to a correction in the US Dollar as traders reduced their bets on further rate hikes.
The past several weeks have been a real triumph for the bulls in the oil market. The Brent spot price grew by 8.5% during the last month.
Gold prices are rising for three consecutive days ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged due to declining inflation and a positive economic outlook. Investors are keen on the Fed's interest rate guidance, fearing a hawkish stance that could trigger market risk aversion.
Amid concerns of a Chinese economic slowdown, reports of declining investment often overlook China's efficient investment strategy in emerging sectors for long-term growth. China has taken measures to stabilize foreign and private sector investments, like reducing the reserve requirement ratio to boost investor confidence.