GOLD: Where is Price Headed Now?

GOLD: Where is Price Headed Now?

2023-12-14 • Updated

Gold prices (XAU/USD) continued their upward trajectory on Thursday, bolstered by dovish guidance from the Federal Reserve (Fed). The precious metal's fundamentals are gaining strong support, suggesting a potential for sustained gains in the long term.

The Fed's new projections indicate a willingness for more rate cuts than previously anticipated. This shift is attributed to substantial progress in inflation, which is on a declining trend toward the 2% target. Additionally, a stable job market and reduced inflation projections contribute to the favorable environment for gold.

Despite signaling potential rate cuts and offering lower inflation guidance, Fed Chair Jerome Powell refrained from declaring victory over inflation. The central bank is, however, expected to navigate a 'soft landing,' achieving price stability without negatively impacting the labor market or triggering a recession.

(Gold) XAUUSD - Weekly Timeframe


Gold(XAUUSD) created a new ATH (All-Time-High) last week, and retraced almost immediately after. Right now on the weekly timeframe, Gold seems to be in search of new support levels from which it could possibly reclaim the high. In my opinion, I think Gold is likely going to retest the supply zone once again before completing the retracement.

(Gold) XAUUSD - D1 Timeframe


On the Daily timeframe, Gold has bounced off the 50-Day moving average, heading towards the supply zone as indicated. It is my sentiment in the meantime that Gold would reach the supply zone before any real decline in prices can occur.

Analyst’s Expectations: 

Direction: Bullish

Target: 2070.10

Invalidation: 2012.58


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